Scenario planning is the go-to method for strategic planning under uncertainty. Rather than basing strategy on a single forecast, it provides a structured approach to prepare for a broad range of possibilities. We follow methods grounded in strategic dialogue that were originally developed at Royal Dutch Shell.

 

The process is straightforward: identify the forces, imagine potential outcomes, develop a systematic strategy, and monitor. Doug is known for applying scenario planning in high stakes situations including climate change, national security, massive business model shifts, and pandemic response. We can help you develop an integrated multi-year program so your organization can become more vigilant, curate scenario planning off-sites, or deploy world-class training programs. 

 

As a globally recognized thought leader on managing uncertainty and scenario planning, Doug led Global Business Network’s (GBN) consulting practice, founded Monitor 360, and has published extensively on scenario planning.